FJ. Rogers+309.8%MV. Wembanyama12.49+489.2%FJ. Garcia+253.0%MK. Abdul-Jabbar23.53+488.3%FJ. McCann+184.7%MM. Williams1.17+350.0%FA. Bohm+176.4%ME. Long1.12+348.0%FH. Bader+164.6%MJ. Greene1.12+348.0%FE. Valencia+153.1%MA. Manning1.12+348.0%FC. Mayo+140.8%MT. Shaw1.12+330.8%FL. García+129.6%MJ. Williams1.12+250.0%FB. Naylor+128.3%MJ. Wallace0.75+200.0%FN. Velázquez+125.5%MK. Garnett9.48+183.0%FV. Jr.+121.6%MR. Fitzgerald0.75+177.8%FL. Acuña+118.6%MS. O'Neal1.91+165.3%FL. Acuna+118.6%MK. Bryant1.88+154.1%FL. Jimenez+114.9%MD. Harper0.65+150.0%FH. Hernández+104.8%MM. Jordan8.86+148.2%FH. Hernandez+104.8%MC. Dike0.62+129.6%FL. Jr.+104.6%MM. Humphrey5.92+115.3%FA. Osuna+104.1%MD. Pavia0.54+107.7%FT. O'Neill+103.7%MC. Holmgren2.28+103.6%FR. Devers+101.3%MJ. Holliday0.50+100.0%FJ. Rogers+309.8%MV. Wembanyama12.49+489.2%FJ. Garcia+253.0%MK. Abdul-Jabbar23.53+488.3%FJ. McCann+184.7%MM. Williams1.17+350.0%FA. Bohm+176.4%ME. Long1.12+348.0%FH. Bader+164.6%MJ. Greene1.12+348.0%FE. Valencia+153.1%MA. Manning1.12+348.0%FC. Mayo+140.8%MT. Shaw1.12+330.8%FL. García+129.6%MJ. Williams1.12+250.0%FB. Naylor+128.3%MJ. Wallace0.75+200.0%FN. Velázquez+125.5%MK. Garnett9.48+183.0%FV. Jr.+121.6%MR. Fitzgerald0.75+177.8%FL. Acuña+118.6%MS. O'Neal1.91+165.3%FL. Acuna+118.6%MK. Bryant1.88+154.1%FL. Jimenez+114.9%MD. Harper0.65+150.0%FH. Hernández+104.8%MM. Jordan8.86+148.2%FH. Hernandez+104.8%MC. Dike0.62+129.6%FL. Jr.+104.6%MM. Humphrey5.92+115.3%FA. Osuna+104.1%MD. Pavia0.54+107.7%FT. O'Neill+103.7%MC. Holmgren2.28+103.6%FR. Devers+101.3%MJ. Holliday0.50+100.0%
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Forecast accuracy

Hit rate = share of realizations that landed inside the bull/bear cone around AFV at forecast time. Thin buckets show "insufficient data" instead of fake percentages.

Accuracy not published yet

We only show hit rates after a backtest run writes enough samples to forecast_accuracy_daily. Until then we will not display placeholder percentages.

Source: nightly / on-demand backtest_afv_hit_rate.py → forecast_accuracy_daily. Informational only — not financial advice.